1.0 DCPLUS 20230828 04284900 20241128 04284900 https://www.arcgis.com/sharing/rest/content/items/2ca0bdfafa794355864b853dd2567efb/info/thumbnail/ago_downloaded.png https://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=2ca0bdfafa794355864b853dd2567efb 2ca0bdfafa794355864b853dd2567efb Feature Service https://services9.arcgis.com/weJ1QsnbMYJlCHdG/arcgis/rest/services/Indicator_18/FeatureServer NGFS Transition Pathways 2023-08-28T04:28:49 2024-11-28T21:48:26 A selection and visualization of key indicators from the Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) climate scenarios. It is curated by the IMF in collaboration with the NGFS. <div>The selection of key indicators from the Network of Central Banks and Supervisors for Greening the Financial System (<a href='https://www.ngfs.net/en' target='_blank' rel='nofollow ugc noopener noreferrer'>NGFS</a>) climate scenarios comprises Primary Energy Mix, Fossil Fuel Prices, Final Energy Mix, Emissions and CCS, Shadow Carbon Price, and Mean Surface Temperature. </div><div> </div><div>Sources: <a href='https://www.ngfs.net/ngfs-scenarios-portal/' target='_blank' rel='nofollow ugc noopener noreferrer'>NGFS (2023), Scenarios Portal</a>; and <a href='https://data.ene.iiasa.ac.at/ngfs/#/' target='_blank' rel='nofollow ugc noopener noreferrer'>IIASA (2023), NGFS Phase 4 Scenario Explorer</a>. </div><div> </div><div>Category: Transition to a Low-Carbon Economy </div><div> </div><div>Metadata </div><div>The framework of the Network of Central Banks and Supervisors for Greening the Financial System (<a href='https://www.ngfs.net/en' target='_blank' rel='nofollow ugc noopener noreferrer'>NGFS</a>) allows to simulate, in a forward-looking fashion, the dynamics within and between the energy, land-use, economy, and climate systems. Consistent with that framework, the NGFS explores a set of seven climate scenarios, which are characterized by their overall level of physical and transition risk. The scenarios in the current Phase IV (<a href='https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10079020' target='_blank' rel='nofollow ugc noopener noreferrer'>NGFS climate scenarios data set</a>) are Low Demand, Net Zero 2050, Below 2°C, Delayed Transition, Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), Current Policies, and Fragmented World. Each NGFS scenario explores a different set of assumptions for how climate policy, emissions, and temperatures evolve. To reflect the uncertainty inherent to modeling climate-related macroeconomic and financial risks, the NGFS scenarios use different models, over and above the range of scenarios. These integrated assessment models (IAMs) are, by their acronyms: GCAM, MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM, and REMIND-MAgPIE. For details please see the <a href='https://www.ngfs.net/sites/default/files/medias/documents/ngfs_climate_scenarios_for_central_banks_and_supervisors_phase_iv.pdf' target='_blank' rel='nofollow ugc noopener noreferrer'>NGFS climate scenarios presentation</a> the <a href='https://www.ngfs.net/sites/default/files/media/2023/11/07/ngfs_scenarios_technical_documentation_phase_iv.pdf' target='_blank' rel='nofollow ugc noopener noreferrer'>Climate scenarios technical documentation</a>, and the <a href='https://www.ngfs.net/sites/default/files/media/2023/11/07/ngfs_user_guide_for_ngfs_scenarios_data_access.pdf' target='_blank' rel='nofollow ugc noopener noreferrer'>User guide for data access</a>. </div><div> Methodology </div><div>The database of key indicators is curated by the IMF in collaboration with the NGFS. The full data set can be found at the original sources. The <a href='https://data.ece.iiasa.ac.at/ngfs/#/license' target='_blank' rel='nofollow ugc noopener noreferrer'>license of the NGFS</a> applies. </div><div> </div><div>The transition pathways for the NGFS scenarios have been generated with three well-established integrated assessment models, namely GCAM, MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM and REMIND-MAgPIE. These models combine macro-economic, agriculture and land-use, energy, water and climate systems into a common numerical framework that enables the analysis of the complex and non-linear dynamics in and between these components. The IAM results have been downscaled to the level of 140 countries. </div><div> </div><div>For details please see the <a href='https://www.ngfs.net/sites/default/files/medias/documents/ngfs_climate_scenarios_for_central_banks_and_supervisors_phase_iv.pdf' target='_blank' rel='nofollow ugc noopener noreferrer'>NGFS climate scenarios presentation</a>, the <a href='https://www.ngfs.net/sites/default/files/media/2023/11/07/ngfs_scenarios_technical_documentation_phase_iv.pdf' target='_blank' rel='nofollow ugc noopener noreferrer'>Climate scenarios technical documentation</a>, and the <a href='https://www.ngfs.net/sites/default/files/media/2023/11/07/ngfs_user_guide_for_ngfs_scenarios_data_access.pdf' target='_blank' rel='nofollow ugc noopener noreferrer'>User guide for data access</a>. </div><div> </div><div>The table that follows give the correspondence of the variables in the IMF Climate Change Indicators Dashboard and the NGFS climate scenarios database. </div><div> </div><div><table border='1' cellpadding='0' cellspacing='0' style='border-collapse:collapse; border:none;'> <tbody><tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Series </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> IMF Variable </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-left:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> NGFS Variable </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Primary Energy </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Coal </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Primary Energy|Coal </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Oil </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Primary Energy|Oil </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Gas </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Primary Energy|Gas </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Biomass </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Primary Energy|Biomass </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Hydro </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Primary Energy|Hydro </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Wind </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Primary Energy|Wind </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Geothermal </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Primary Energy|Geothermal </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Solar </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Primary Energy|Solar </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Nuclear </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Primary Energy|Nuclear </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Energy Prices </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Price: Coal </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Price|Primary Energy|Coal </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Price: Oil </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Price|Primary Energy|Oil </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Price: Gas </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Price|Primary Energy|Gas </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Final Energy </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Electricity </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Final Energy|Electricity </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Gases </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Final Energy|Gases </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Heat </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Final Energy|Heat </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Hydrogen </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Final Energy|Hydrogen </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Liquids </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Final Energy|Liquids </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Solids </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Final Energy|Solids </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Emissions and CCS1) </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Energy and industrial processes CO2 emissions </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> = Emissions|CO2 – Emissions|CO2|LULUCF Direct+Indirect </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> LULUCF CO2 emissions </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Emissions|CO2|LULUCF Direct+Indirect </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Total non-CO2 emissions </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Emissions|Total Non-CO2 </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Fossil energy CCS </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Carbon Sequestration|CCS|Fossil </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Bioenergy with CCS </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Carbon Sequestration|CCS|Biomass </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Industrial processes CCS </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Carbon Sequestration|CCS|Industrial Processes </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Carbon Price </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Price: Carbon </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Price|Carbon </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> Surface Temperature2) </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> 5th percentile </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Country Temperature|Downscaling|5.0th Percentile </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> 50th percentile </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Country Temperature|Downscaling|50.0th Percentile </td> </tr> <tr> <td style='width:1.85in; border:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-top:none; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> </td> <td style='width:1.85in; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='178'> 95th percentile </td> <td style='width:200.9pt; border-top:none; border-left:none; border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt; border-right:solid windowtext 1.0pt; padding:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt;' valign='top' width='268'> Country Temperature|Downscaling|95.0th Percentile </td> </tr> </tbody></table></div><div> </div><div>1)World emissions are IMF staff calculations. 2)Postprocessed results. World mean surface temperature relative to pre-industrial levels; variable names “AR6 climate diagnostics|Surface Temperature (GSAT)|MAGICCv7.5.3|5.0th Percentile”, “50.0th Percentile”, and “95.0th Percentile”, respectively.</div><div> </div><div> </div><div>Data series: </div><div><ul><li>Primary Energy Mix</li><li>Fossil Fuel Prices</li><li>Final Energy Mix</li><li>Emissions and CCS</li><li>Shadow Carbon Price</li><li>Mean Surface Temperature</li></ul></div> The <a href='https://data.ece.iiasa.ac.at/ngfs/#/license' target='_blank' rel='nofollow ugc noopener noreferrer'>license of the NGFS</a> applies. 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 2ca0bdfafa794355864b853dd2567efb https://services9.arcgis.com/weJ1QsnbMYJlCHdG/arcgis/rest/services/Indicator_18/FeatureServer Feature Service